Here’s the latest from the Antiwar Room: http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=7233192191101033516. What you don’t see is a discussion John Isaacs and I have off camera about the Reed Levin amendment on Senate Defense Authorization, which I think is too weak, because of the many loopholes for leaving the troops in. He argues that the House legislation has the same loopholes. I don’t disagree, but I feel that the vote yesterday was entirely symbolic, whereas the Senate vote has some chance of making into law. With John’s permission, I am reprinting a blog post he wrote about troops getting out for his site at Council for a Liveable World.
Darcy Scott Martin, Washington DC Director
From John Isaac’s blog:
Leaving some troops in Iraq
Many anti-Iraq war activists are wary of amendments that require most American combat troops to leave Iraq, while leaving some number – 30,000 - 60,000 – in the country for training purposes, defending the American presence and chasing terrorists.
Some see the remaining soldiers as part of a plot to maintain a permanent presence in Iraq to protect American oil interests.
I beg to differ.
My view is that once the American troops start leaving in large numbers, they all will follow. That is, neither the American nor the Iraqi populations will tolerate a permanent presence of a large contingent of American troops. A decision taken today to remove combat troops is a decision to bring them all home.
Moreover, if 160,000 American troops can have little impact over there, what makes anyone think that 60,000 or 30,000 can, or are less vulnerable to attack even if hunkered down in “secure” bases or in the Green Zone or outside of Baghdad?
There were two very insightful – insightful because they agree with me of course – pieces in today’s newspapers.
New York Times columnist Tom Friedman today wrote:
The passions that have been unleashed in Iraq are not going to accommodate some partial withdrawal plan, where we just draw down troops, do less patrolling, more training and fight Al Qaeda types. It’s a fantasy. The minute we start to withdraw, all hell will break loose in the areas we leave, and there will be a no-holds-barred contest for power among Iraqi factions. Our staying there with, say, half as many troops, will not be sustainable.
He is correct, of course. Once we start out, we will continue out.
Stephen Biddle, who was in Iraq in March and April and is senior fellow for defense policy at the Council on Foreign Relations, penned an op-ed in today’s Washington Post. He suggests:
Few lawmakers are comfortable with abandoning Iraq or admitting defeat. The result has been a search for some kind of politically moderate “Plan B” that would split the difference between surge and withdrawal. The problem is that these politics do not fit the military reality of Iraq. Many would like to reduce the U.S. commitment to something like half of today’s troop presence there. But it is much harder to find a mission for the remaining 60,000 to 80,000 soldiers that makes any sense militarily.
Biddle, too, is correct. Those that are agonizing over amendments that don’t bring home every American soldier immediately are missing the forest for the trees. If Congress passes legislation to get most troops out of Iraq and overcomes a President Bush veto, the U.S. will be well on its way to total withdrawal.
Richard Nixon started slowly bring the troops home from Vietnam as part of his “Vietnamization.” But once they started, American soldiers weren’t going back and the remainder of the troops came home.
It took years for the withdrawal from Vietnam.
It will take a much shorter time from Iraq.